1 月 3 日，比特幣 (BTC) 引領加密貨幣市場走低，顯示市場對現貨比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 申請的命運感到緊張。 被談論的原因之一是加密金融服務平臺 Matrixport 的比特幣 ETF 否認報告。
然而，需要謹慎注意的是，該報告未能提供確鑿的證據來證明 ETF 為何會被拒絕。 相比之下，彭博 ETF 分析師 James Seyffart 維持 1 月 10 日之前對 ETF 的批準率為 90%。
每日加密貨幣市場表現。 來源： Coin360
儘管下跌在短期內冷卻了看漲情緒，但並沒有改變當前的趨勢。 市場觀察家將密切關注監管機構，任何有關比特幣 ETF 批準的積極消息都可能導致價格大幅逆轉。
哪些重要的支撐位可能會阻止比特幣和山寨幣的下跌？ 讓我們分析一下前 10 名加密貨幣的圖表來找出答案。
比特幣價格分析
1 月 2 日，比特幣突破了 44,700 美元的上方阻力位，但隨著 1 月 3 日價格暴跌，這一突破被證明是牛市陷阱。
BTC/USDT 日線圖。 來源： TradingView
買家在 50 日簡單移動平均線（40,938 美元）下跌時買入，表明多頭正在大力捍衛 40,000 美元的水平。 趨平的 20 天指數移動平均線（42,855 美元）和中點附近的相對強弱指數 (RSI) 顯示近期將出現區間波動。 該範圍的邊界可能是 40,000 美元到 45,879 美元。
如果價格跌破 40,000 美元支撐位，則表示多頭已在短期內放棄。 這可能會使 BTC/USDT 貨幣對跌至下一個主要支撐位 37,980 美元。
當買家將價格推高至 45,879 美元以上後，他們將重新掌控局面。 隨後該貨幣對可能飆升至 5 萬美元。
以太幣價格分析
1 月 2 日，多頭試圖將以太幣 (ETH) 推升至 2,445 美元阻力位上方，但燭臺上的長影線顯示在更高水平處出現拋售。
ETH/USDT 日線圖。 來源： TradingView
1月3日價格大幅下跌並跌破移動平均線。 一個小的積極因素是買家在 2,100 美元的逢低買入，並試圖將價格保持在 2,200 美元以上。
過去幾天的價格走勢表明，ETH/USDT 貨幣對可能會在 2,100 美元至 2,400 美元之間波動一段時間。 空頭必須將價格壓低至 2,100 美元以下，才能開始進一步回調至 1,900 美元。 從好的方面來說，升破 2,445 美元可能為反彈至 3,000 美元打開大門。
BNB價格分析
BNB (BNB) 試圖從 309 美元的 38.2% 斐波那契回撤位反彈，但空頭大舉拋售，並將價格拉至 290 美元的 61.8% 回撤位附近。
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The long wick and the long tail on the Jan. 3 candlestick show indecision among the bulls and the bears. The 20-day EMA ($290) remains the essential level to watch out for because a break below it may result in a retest of the neckline.
A slight advantage to the bulls is that the 20-day EMA is sloping up, and the RSI remains in positive territory. If buyers keep the price above the 20-day EMA, the BNB/USDT pair could climb to the overhead resistance of $338.
Solana price analysis
Solana’s (SOL) recovery stalled at $117 on Jan. 2, indicating that traders are selling on rallies toward the overhead resistance of $126.
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The selling accelerated on Jan. 3, and the bears yanked the price below the 20-day EMA ($96). If the price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the SOL/USDT pair could fall to the 50-day SMA ($76).
On the contrary, if the price maintains above the 20-day EMA, it will indicate solid demand at lower levels. That may start a rally back toward the $117 to $126 resistance zone, where the bears are expected to pose a strong challenge.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) has been forming a descending triangle pattern, which will complete on a close below $0.57.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears dragged the price below $0.57 on Jan. 3, but the bulls aggressively bought the dip, as seen from the long tail on the candlestick. If the price rises back above $0.57, the bulls will try to start a recovery toward the downtrend line.
Contrarily, if the price sustains below $0.57, it will signal the completion of the bearish setup. The XRP/USDT pair could then nosedive to $0.46 and eventually to the pivotal support at $0.41.
Cardano price analysis
Buyers failed to sustain the breakout above the symmetrical triangle pattern in Cardano (ADA) on Jan. 2, indicating a lack of demand at higher levels.
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The selling picked up on Jan. 3, and the bears pulled the price below the triangle’s support line. The ADA/USDT pair dropped to the 50-day SMA ($0.50), but the long tail on the candlestick shows solid buying at lower levels.
Any recovery attempt is likely to face selling at the 20-day EMA ($0.59). If the price turns down from this level, it will indicate a change in sentiment from buying on dips to selling on rallies. That may put the 50-day SMA at the risk of a breakdown. If this level gives way, the pair may fall to $0.46.
On the contrary, a rally above $0.64 will improve the prospects of a break above the overhead resistance at $0.68.
Avalanche price analysis
Avalanche’s (AVAX) recovery fizzled out at $43.44 on Jan. 2, indicating that the bears are selling on every minor rise.
AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The selling accelerated on Jan. 3, and the AVAX/USDT pair tumbled below the $38 support. This move completed a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern, signaling the start of a corrective phase.
There is strong support at $31, but if this support is taken out, the pair may drop to the pattern target of $26. This negative view will be invalidated in the near term if the price climbs back above $44.
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin’s (DOGE) support at the 50-day SMA ($0.09) snapped on Jan. 3, indicating that the consolidation resolved in favor of the bears.
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls are trying to start a relief rally, but their attempts are likely to face strong selling at the 20-day EMA ($0.09). If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the DOGE/USDT pair could descend to $0.07. This level is likely to attract buyers, but if the bears prevail, the pair may fall to $0.06.
The bulls will have to push and maintain the price above the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone to signal the start of the next leg of the uptrend to $0.16.
Polkadot price analysis
Polkadot (DOT) rebounded off the strong support at $7.90 on Jan. 1, but the higher levels could not be maintained.
DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The price reversed direction on Jan. 3 and broke below the formidable support at $7.90. That intensified selling, and the DOT/USDT pair collapsed to $6.50. However, the bulls aggressively bought this dip, as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.
The 20-day EMA ($7.94) is likely to act as a strong resistance on the way up, but if this level is scaled, the pair could jump to $8.80. Contrarily, if the price remains below the 20-day EMA, the possibility of a retest of $6.50 increases.
Polygon price analysis
Polygon (MATIC) rose above the overhead resistance at $1 on Jan. 1, but the bulls could not build upon the breakout.
MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The price turned down and broke below $1 on Jan. 2. The MATIC/USDT pair witnessed a massive fall on Jan. 3, plunging to $0.74. This sharp decline suggests that the pair remains range-bound between $0.75 and $1 for a while longer.
Buyers will have to drive the price back above the 20-day EMA ($0.91) to reduce the selling pressure. That could result in a rally to $1. On the other hand, if the price stays below the 50-day SMA ($0.85), the pair could slide to $0.70.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
